PRESUPPOSITIONS OF PHILOSOPHICAL ORDER APPLIED TO FUZZY ENTROPY

             

      At 40 000 feet :

Let us avoid the mined boarder between our usual world and the quantum world, their relation is not yet understood. Henri Poincaré declared them incompatible, and the situation hardly developped; this transition resists the modeling, although very studied in the prospect of a quantum data processing.

How to build the models of our macro-world with bricks of a micro-world where space and time sometimes don’t exist? How to pass from 0 dimension to 1? The match is not well under way; the curiosities cabinet of the constants is larger than two centuries ago, when some mathematicians admit they don't know what is a number. However, away from us on the Evolution tree, hens count seeds and ostriches their eggs.

Let us remain in a field where the law of causality, rough, is still statistically accepted, given that everybody uses the notions of space and time, although nobody knows what it is. A link between them and Entropy remains the only hope of a satisfactory representation, perhaps in the continuity of Heisenberg’s inequalities.

The functioning of the brain remains still a riddle. We can solely regard it as a black box. In this concept, the contents of the box are up to now unapproachable. Only the inputs and the outputs are known. Here input would be information, and outputs our representations and our acts.

Interesting characteristic, our brains can function "in parallel" in religions, ideologies, parties, companies, trade unions, armies and team sports, which bring together for a goal. Evolution selected this behaviour by making it often gratifying for us.

Let us postulate that our acts are associated with the representation or analogy or “model” that we do have Reality.

    Some models, in disorder:

    • Morals and ethics (Common Law, the penal code)
    • Arts, individual attempts of artists at their reality adequacy, sometimes recognised mysteriously like aesthetic models by a cultural community, that they reinforce the links. Reinforcement which appears obvious by the literature (the “manifeste du surréalisme”) or music; it’s even the expressed goal of national anthems and military music. (at last! Five years later these lines: ref. 86)
    • Philosophy, its fuzzy notions of determinism, of free will, recently of emergence. Discipline certainly Entropically productive but often literary, ethicaling or dated. The interrogations of some recent famous philosophers, like: "why something exists rather than nothing?" may only attract the answer commonly attributed to a Jesuit: "why not?". Some however sometimes gathered their contemporaries, like J P. Sartre; marked by the world war II, he perpetrated a whole play to reveal us: "hell? The others!" The ancients already maintained that "man is a wolf for the man ", which would be defamatory for the wolf. Hell, paradise? One questions oneself. Already posed some years ago, my diagnosis remains valid; only two examples: apocalyptic poetry (ref. 82) or kind chattering, amnesic and Western-correct, (ref. 81, see further an Entropic version of the current worldwide conflict)
    • Religions, which may bring together enormous masses of faithful. Everywhere, they prove their Fuzzy Entropy efficiency in education and social security fields. However, they do not hesitate to appropriate morals, said divine (see Kant); with sometimes disappointing results, such this planetary European religion which is toiling to convert to its principles its local faithful, when they belong to the Mafia; or terrorist attacks in the name of Islam; or in Iraq, the very fundamentalist US firm Blackwater and its "out-local-law", which fill a target on Iraqi civilians at the least traffic jam, and even before. (ref. 79) Morals, a sconsequence of a Fuzzy Entropic Field? To refer to the page ”OBVIOUSNESS ... - Remarks of social nature”.
    • Social sciences with sociology, economy, ethnology, psychology? Their specialists bring few together, even if, like the philosophers, they sometimes manage to gain a following by the literary quality of their writing. (cf. “Tristes Tropiques” of C. Lévi-Strauss)
    • Wacky according to present scientific criterions, but they exist: magic, astrology, numerology, clairvoyance, inequitable gambling, high fashion?

How the authors in these fields can make attractive, and convincing, the  “slough of the language”, with so highly fuzzy words as beauty, justice, ability to institute? Voltaire wrote that the top of beauty for the toad was its mate.

Yet, shall we not admit a link, for example, between “The Capital” of K. Marx and the space conquest, one of the rare not criticized consequences of a today collapsed ideology? Born during the Cold War, it has been a strong consumer of free energy ever since.

After first Plato’s suspicion, agnosticism claimed that science couldn't either reveal us Reality. However, science also produces models attempting to get near it in a more satisfactory formulation, with application in mathematical models of measure. The whole seems hard to dispute, though... The mathematicians, confronted for ages with bases crises, at least since Zenon and his arrow, must today face a crisis of the proof, made fuzzy by the computers use.

Let us say that, if these models are predictive and falsifiable, as Sir K. Popper claims, they satisfy a statistically significant part of the scholars, in a defined field and for an unpredictable duration.

If "Science is only what we say about Nature" (Niels Bohr, 1920, approximately), incomplete information and more or less collective acceptance involve a final more or less convincing consequence, the measurable energy transformation.

Surprisingly, our brain can often move from a statistically doubtful estimation of the reality to the necessity to act, or not. A complex situation, like analogical, induces us to a numerical decision, yes or not (go, no go); a kind of adventurous passage to the limit with unforseeable consequences, even in the short term. More: In some games, this estimation may be statistically well known, the hope of winnings slim, and still we act. How can we pull on the lever of a one-armed bandit? Shouldn't it be admitted that rational parameters are then considered negligible by the brain and systematically isolated?

Would Fuzzy Entropy use emotions, naive physics, religious or ideological beliefs, lure of absolute or supernatural, scientific curiosity or any other means selected by the Evolution to occult this logical flaw in our mind? The dogma of the thought preceding and directing the action is currently under discussion (ref. 31). Should we see in our  representations a decoy, which is coming with us in action?

Except when a disaster abruptly places us in front of the obviousness of a relentless and incontrollable world, would the decoy , tinted of optimism by the Evolution, (ref. 83 ) provide us an acceptable representation of the reality, probably necessary to our psychic balance? At the same time, would it convince us of the soundness of our decision-making? (see the "illusion of control" of Professor Olivier Desrichard)

Did Guillaume d'Orange feel this importance of the actison when he said: “Hope is not necessary to undertake, nor success to persevere“? Like Schopenhauer and its “Will” (better: “Urge to live”), Bergson and the “Life force”, and Henri Laborit: ”The brain’s part is to act, not to think?” (As he maintains in the film “Mon oncle d’Amérique” from Alain Resnais).

Discoursing in front of the French national Assembly, a minister would have invited to think less and act more. Would she have read my thesis? Not very sensitive to the ministerial nuances, more probably to a possible thoughtless criticism, an official French thinker came on the defence of its business to hammer the doctrine: a philosopher does nothing but think, day and night, and it's hard. (ref. 74) One day, will a certified philosopher, who lightens the century of his thoughts, authorize scientists to put his brain in a jar, which would remove any inopportune inclination of share? There is no doubt that, measured in a calorimeter, the power (in horsepower) of its only thoughts will exceed the power developed by a well prepared champion cyclist, climbing a col of the first category.

 

The Pope Benoit XVI works up about the ambient relativism. Wrongly, it is not a threat. Relativism hardly pushes to the action, faith yes. Certainty is good for morale and favorable to the action.  Pentecost's, for example, are convinced. Believers know that their conviction is only one among others; they know that this conviction is, for the majority of them, the belief of their local community, which may fill a whole subcontinent but often much less.

How do we adhere to such local absolutes? Question that arises for the religions, but also for the morals, the arts and the philosophy; without omitting the long list of the scientific beliefs since Ptolemy. Obvious answer: insensible to those of our paradoxes or contradictions that are parameterized to zero, we act. A threshold effect that reminds sexuality threshold effect when, beyond a certain degree of excitation, Nature prohibits any intervention of the reason that may be opposed to its goals, the species reproduction and genes dispersion. Woody Allen will agree.

We would have a kind of peripheral reason which usually incites us to criticism, a probably sometimes-cumbersome process of thought, especially in the army. Would the Evolution, which gave us this (too much?) powerful tool, conceal it when it may harm the Entropic Efficiency?

In brief, we should not be astonished when Papuans practise a "cargo liner cult" or when an Nepali airline company sacrifices two goats to the Hindu god of the air to avert a series of technical damages on its two Boeing 757. (ref. 77) At the end of 19th century, Lord Kelvin believed physics completed; recently physicist S. Hawking was convinced that this completion was for soon, whereas ~95% of the Universe is unknown.

Will the theologians assimilate the present thesis, which emphasizes the action power of the religious belief? Will they realize that a scientific model is a rare pearl, when taking faith into account, and that the God's death unbearable nietzschean announcement was premature?

Brain specialists think that our free will acts only like the "dead button" of a beginning process of action.

 

          Would the ultimate model be: Fuzzy Entropy pulling technology, technology pulling science, science pulling philosophy, which often brakes ... ? (ref. 60) And with what sort of feedback?

For example, would there be such an agitation around arithmetic, the hard core of mathematics, if companies were not asking for cryptographic means? And in increasing number, research organizations would be considered like tools, and judged on their capacity of economic valorisation. (ref. 26 and 36)

 

      Fuzzy Entropy from day to day :  

In a recent interview in Afghanistan, a German warrant officer maintained that his most gratifying role was to destroy tons of dangerous abandoned ammunition. A simple delay in a transformation of a noble energy into heat.

Beforehand and to cut a long oil story short, two leaders, each one sure that he embodies the Good and that the other is diabolic, launched a worldwide conflict with a strong energy conversion. By means of ordinary marketing, one of them managed to sell a war to an opinion, until then opposed to an intervention.

These mutual accusations recall the Cold War, and the unexpected joke of the soviet leader Nikita Krouchtchev before he meets the American President: "he should have a long spoon that sups with the devil".

Whatever destinies of the two instigators, the conflict may last without them. On the side "Jihad", the war effort is supported by "gifts", often placed in inaccessible tax havens; a leader who would put pressure on these havens, quickly realizes that their networks of fund transferts are opaque (interbank compensations, hawala) and he may deprive his national companies of appreciable cash flow facilities. (ref. 46) On the side "war against terrorism" the effort is, above all, supported by the guaranteed income of a world currency reserve. To date, a credible currency authorizes to take out indefinitely renewable loans, direct public loans by Treasury bills, indirect by foreign investment.

The face-to-face forces seem disproportionate. The world indignation caused at the time by the bombardment of Guernica fell down and in Canton, London, Dresden, Tokyo, Hiroshima, Sakiet, Halabja, the best armed nations showed that bombs could be transported by airway more effectively than by any other way. Additional advantage, the detachment given by distance and altitude avoids that, from crews to the political authorities, somebody wonders for a long time about the proportion of civil people that will disappear ; ~98% in case of use of submunitions bombs.

Yet, Occident has few means of defence, if the opposite camp decides to use commercial container ships as vectors of mass destruction weapons (MDW), as the French General Alain Baer and UN pointed it out.

A boat can transport to 5000 containers. Thirteen millions containers, for example, are transiting annually (in 2003) through Singapore. The feasability of more effective inspections than the few and late current checks remains to be shown. In the state of the technique, you must practically empty all containers to inspect correctly a necessarily berthed ship. Sample is prohibited. How to avoid the bottlenecks that would paralyse 80% of the world trade, often at tight flow, and plunge the planetary economy in stagnation?

Such inspections suppose that the attacker is at the artisan stage, or that he defined a target inside the country. Bad luck, some emblematic Western cities are ports too. A more technical adversary will activate the weapon before unloading, or by a detector during the x-rays inspection. And to set up an effective checking of the shippers …

The only attempt, which would fell through, to introduce a mass destruction weapon into a port will panic any Defence. If you think about the present hypersensitivity of the Stock Exchange, even a semblance of attack would be probably enough. Mind the run to wicket!

 

Few indices will make possible to go back the network, especially in case of a nuclear explosion. So and more terrifying, any state that would think it's in a life-threatening situation, may find the justification of a preventive attack in recent precedents, and anonymously strike.

Let us hope that such a disaster will remain a hypothesis forever, but what do the Iranian Minister for Defence mean, when he praised "our skill to implement new strategies"? Today, Iran does not have nuclear weapons or intercontinental vectors; did the Minister speak especially to reassure an anxious population, recently in war? However, he intrigues by quoting "equipments which give us the greatest power of dissuasion". (ref. 34) Does the Minister evoke only missiles or fast torpedoes able to threaten the oil traffic in Persian Gulf, capital for the world economy?

Effectively, as at the time of the Cold War and after probable adventures still to come, possibly NRBC, a sort of dissuasion should be established between the known current belligerents. A shallow analysis would qualify it from the Very Weak to the Very Strong, with the Occident in the role of the Very Strong. Taking into account the preceding remarks, are these qualifiers really appropriate? The Very Strong is weakened by the obvious vulnerability of its transport networks; he can strike heavily but has difficulties to hold one's ground in a hostile country. Otherwise, how to interpret the silence of the American think tanks, which, like the other side, certainly did not fail to note the chinks?

Perhaps this dissuasion is functioning since the warning of Al Qaida to prevent Western use of MDW. If not, how to explain the mixed results of the anti-terrorist fight in the Middle East?

Another assumption, Al Quaida would have realized that a stock exchange crash would have uncontrollable and surely negative consequences on its own assets. May it avoid a world economic collapse by singling out a target State and by reassuring the others? Il will be however difficult to avoid a general return to the isolationism, unfavorable to its capital turnover.

 

      Present prospects :

The only clear sign is the current decreasing decennial slopes (data stopped at year 2000) of worldwide energy consumption, whicht preceded the US slow period.

Is the curve of consumption taking the shape of a S kind curve (Arctg(x), Th(x), Erf(x)), with an asymptote or not? Would this decreasing slope be due to the savings in heating, since it appears that the planet is warming? Not yet clear. Would it be due to the profits of productivity achieved by data processing? The experts are divided. The consequence of the ecological thrust? Probably not, apparently supporters of “business as usual” stay in the lead.

But is the hand of Fuzzy Entropy invisible? As the hand of the market? Or is it the same?

War efforts, an economist said (ref. 15), ended the Great Depression of 1929. During the World War Two, it seems that the death of a man will cost his weight in explosives.

Mafias, splinter groups, ethnic groups, religions, ideologies and States have always found good reasons to begin a war and to drag it out. After Urbain II in 1095 and between two surrealist televised exhortations to a universal peace, the Pope Jean Paul II himself was constrained  to choose his side, when Italian soldiers died in Iraq. At the same time, philosopher Emmanuel Levinas preached an ethereal peace, now trendy. (ref. 64) A profane version remains, less ethical but more Fuzzy Entropy productive, the pax judaica in Palestine.

Currently, the diplomacy of the Vatican is working on a rapprochement with the Judaism, strongly involved in the worldwide conflict, according to the proverb: the enemy of our enemy is our friend. Mgr Lustiger: "the dividing line between Judaism and Christianity is now thinner than the dividing lines that separate them from Islam". (ref. 57) Finely written.

Randomly reading, I am waiting to note the gap between dream and reality at the high-minded people of the other religions, sects or more or less secret societies such freemasonry.

Yet, in the development field, the worldwide needs in drainage work, drinking water, food, health and education are considerable.

In the ecological field, any regulation is asking for more free energy: in the countryside Grandma did not need a car to bring bottles and ads to the waste containers. Of course she owned a wheelbarrow, but containers did not exist.

If we must admit unlikely a reduction in our free energy conversion, will we be able to use part of this energy to counter the harmful effects of this conversion? One day, will we control the environmental consequences of any product, from its design to its disappearance? Already, treatments of waste exist here and there. Let us hope that the civil uses of free energy will become competitive vis-à-vis military uses, Fuzzy Entropy speaking, and will allow a sustainable development (ref. 19), in accordance with the forecasts of the International Energy Agency (IEA).

Manifestly not in a near future.

The tensions are exacerbated in the exploitation and use of fossil energies:

      • in the Fifties, the industrialized Occident had a hand on 70% of the world oil, 30% today,
      • needs are growing in the emergent nations,
      • alarmed by the perpetual decline of the oil extraction ratio energy return / energy invested (EROI), US authorities have an only concern, the increase of the resource. (Central Asia, Mexico, Alaska) Not trusting other options and trying to save energy, (ref. 43) which would be counter-Entropic, they rather support their military power and preserve oil imports. Senate authorized a production schedule of mininukes, (ref. 44) erasing a solution of continuity, theoretic but still symbolically strong, between traditional and nuclear weapons. For the moment, this program was suspended by the Presidency. At the same time and by coincidence, USAF is lobbying for space militarization. (ref. 45)

Between 2001 and 2005, the whole of the nations raised $70 billion for the development aid. In the only fight against terrorism, United States raised $212 billion to finance the war in Iraq (ref. 38); and how much to prepare the yesterday war, by reinforcing their aerial and terrestrial frontiers checks? The American war effort, related to the GDP, would however be lower than that of the war of Vietnam.

"The accumulation of failures would encourage to an agonizing reappraisal of the strategy carried out especially since 2003. Ph. Droz-Vincent notes that no. The transforming outburst remains intact, he writes, whereas it created terrorism rather than leading to its elimination. Much more, the future president of the United States could be compelled to proceed to the same regional shake for escape from sinking in Iraq. Today, ideology would not guide the American policy, but the constraints bequeathed by construction of the threat by Bush administration. By construction of the threat don't hear a threat of artificial nature, but the way in which the United States organized objective elements – terrorism, rogue States, proliferation of massive destruction weapons – in a global theory". (ref. 89)

 

The American private consultancy Homeland Security Research Corporation (HSRC) anticipates a world expenditure of $517 billion for 2015, on the assumption of a persistent tension without major attack. (ref. 40)

At Earth scale, terrorism brews already more than $500 billion.(ref. 42)

 

One-day, historians will confirm some Fuzzy Entropic determinism:

  • since eighty years, strong Western political pressures on the other oil producing countries, especially those of the Middle East (ref. 47) To read again the local history and the troubles of the Iranian Mossadegh or the Iraqi Kassem,
  • in reaction, upsurge of Moslem nationalisms and fundamentalisms, with their moral, political and military consequences,
  • in reaction, upsurge of Western nationalisms and fundamentalisms, with their moral, political and military consequences,
  • among these consequences:
    • request of the charia application on a side, call to a traditional moral values return for the other,
    • everywhere, strengthening of the executive power, which tends to use the legislative, judicial and media powers like tools,
    • restriction of individual freedoms, identity and possessions checks, everybody put on file and files crosschecking,
    • legalization of the aggressive questionings,
    • resurgence of the creationism in the two camps, particularly in the US scientific world, (ref. 66)
  • energy conversion and Fuzzy Entropy production in massive destruction and rebuilding,
  • back to square one for feedback, according to a cycle which shows the force of Fuzzy Entropy.

If deterrent works, energy conversion will remain. The two camps will prepare a major confrontation, which will never take place if all is well. The situation may become acceptable, and even in the interest of all, with a minimum of deaths and a strong energy transformation. During the Cold War, Strategic Air Command maintained a deterrent of sixty B52 in alarm in flight during years. Currently, to fill up a B52 costs $100 000. (ref. 76) Let us greet also the technological advance proved by the distant successor of the Jeep®, the Hummer®, 3 tons, a diesel V8 of 6,5l, 195cv, a fuel consumption of 20 to 60l  / 100km.

The world military expenditure increased of 34% since 1996, at now $1118 billion. (ref. 69) The French Minister for Defense said she has "good hope" that France exceeds in 2006 the amount of 4 billion of euros of armament exports. (ref. 68) ) "Pursued by Israel", 52nd world exporter of armament, (ref. 87) Ministry and industrialists must get up off their backsides.

Dissuasion or not, a well financed organization or a State can easily have access to certain kinds of MDW. Taking into account the policies at the edge of the abyss of some Western countries, Cassandra would have predicted a lasting strong military production of Fuzzy Entropy.

 

      Future prospects :

If Fuzzy Entropy predicts a hypothetical cold end of Universe, we should try to avoid teilharddechardinal metaphysical conjectures, except to find comfort. Perhaps the last avatars of life, maybe distant children of the Earth, camping on the edge of black holes to use the ultimate joules of free energy, will see the approach of the end in a crowning moment of something as art?

 

      In brief :

    Many question marks, but in these presuppositions would not be abusive to use the indicative of the scientific assumptions for so subjective ideas?

    To close definitely this part, the site “Entropy And ... Then?" is open to anybody interested by modelling, strengthened by mathematics, of thermodynamics, thermodynamics of life and cosmology. It's not a place for metaphysic, philosophic or moral considerations.

    Specialist in general ideas, the creator of this site hopes to learn many things; and that contributors will palliate his lacks. English is not his maternal language, and when he was a student, long years ago, he didn’t care enough about his studies, playing soccer, eating frogs and running after girls, as said approximately his fellow Turina.