PRESUPPOSITIONS OF PHILOSOPHICAL ORDER APPLIED TO FUZZY ENTROPY
At 40 000 feet : How to build the models of our macro-world with bricks of a micro-world where space and time sometimes don’t exist? How to jump from a space of 0 dimension, which could be one of dimensions of two intricate particles, to a space of 1 dimension, or 3 dimensions plus time, or n dimensions? "... the theory of the restricted relativity is an assertion (~ a postulate?) on the geometrical structure of space-time.” (ref 104) The match is not well under way; the curiosities cabinet of the constants is larger than two centuries ago, when some mathematicians admit they don't know what is a number. However, away from us on the Evolution tree, hens count seeds and ostriches their eggs. Let us remain in a field where the law of causality, rough, is still statistically accepted, given that everybody uses the notions of space and time, although nobody knows what it is. May we envisage a satisfactory representation of our world in a relation between space-time and the Entropy, which remains the only link currently recognized between the quanta and cosmos? The unique track towards a field of research probably quickly fruitful. More quickly than the various and beautiful constructions always being built, whose experimental checks are slow to come. The functioning of the brain remains still a riddle. We can solely regard it as a black box. In this concept, the contents of the box are up to now unapproachable. Only the inputs and the outputs are known. Here input would be information, and outputs our representations and our acts. Interesting characteristic, our brains can function "in parallel" in religions, ideologies, parties, companies, trade unions, armies and team sports, which bring together for a goal. Evolution selected this behaviour by making it often gratifying for us. Let us postulate that our acts are associated with the representation or analogy or “model” that we do have Reality.
Some models, in disorder: How the authors in these fields can make attractive, and convincing, the “slough of the language”, with so highly fuzzy words as beauty, justice, ability to institute? Voltaire wrote that the top of beauty for the toad was its mate. Yet, shall we not admit a link, for example, between “The Capital” of K. Marx and the space conquest, one of the rare not criticized consequences of a today collapsed ideology? Born during the Cold War, it has been a strong consumer of free energy ever since. After first Plato’s suspicion, agnosticism claimed that science couldn't either reveal us Reality. However, science also produces models attempting to get near it in a more satisfactory formulation, with application in mathematical models of measure. The whole seems hard to dispute, though... The mathematicians, confronted for ages with bases crises, at least since Zenon and his arrow, must today face a crisis of the proof, made fuzzy by the computers use. D. Wolpert showed that a "Theory of Everything" was inaccessible (ref 99) Again, an absolute that slips through our fingers, like the absolute of the mathematics. (ref 100) If we draw the conclusions, these refutations condemn us to the application of partial theories. What corresponds to the current established fact where, if scientific models are predictive, falsifiable as Sir K. Popper claims and above all promise an increased energy transformation, they satisfy a statistically significant part of the scholars, in a defined field and for an unpredictable duration. If "Science is only what we say about Nature" (Niels Bohr, 1920, approximately), incomplete information and more or less collective acceptance involve a final more or less convincing consequence, the Fuzzy Entropy production. Surprisingly, our brain can often move from a statistically doubtful estimation of the reality to the necessity to act, or not. A complex situation, like analogical, induces us to a numerical decision, yes or not (go, no go); a kind of adventurous passage to the limit with unforseeable consequences, even in the short term. More: In some games, this estimation may be statistically well known, the hope of winnings slim, and still we act. How can we pull on the lever of a one-armed bandit? Shouldn't it be admitted that rational parameters are then considered negligible by the brain and systematically isolated? Would Fuzzy Entropy use emotions, naive physics, religious or ideological beliefs, taste of supernatural, scientific curiosity or any other means selected by the Evolution to occult this logical flaw in our mind? And even if our taste of the Absolute must do without the mathematical and physical absolutes, does not remain stainless and Entropically effective absolutes like, among others: "Freedom, Equality, Fraternity"? The dogma of the thought preceding and directing the action is currently under discussion (ref 31). Should we see in our representation, or model, a decoy that is coming with us in action? Except when a disaster abruptly places us in front of the obviousness of a relentless and incontrollable world (ref ?), would the decoy, tinted of optimism by the Evolution, (ref 83) provide us an acceptable representation of the reality, probably necessary to our psychic balance? At the same time, would it convince us of the soundness of our decision-making? (see the "illusion of control" of Professor Olivier Desrichard) Did Guillaume d'Orange feel this importance of the action when he said: “Hope is not necessary to undertake, nor success to persevere“? Like Schopenhauer and its “Will” (better: “Will to live”), Bergson and the “Life force”, and Henri Laborit: ”The brain’s part is to act, not to think?” (As he maintains in the film “Mon oncle d’Amérique” from Alain Resnais). Discoursing in front of the French national Assembly, a minister would have invited to think less and act more. Would she have read my thesis? Not very sensitive to the ministerial nuances, more probably to a possible thoughtless criticism, an official French thinker came on the defence of its business to hammer the doctrine: a philosopher does nothing but think, day and night, and it's hard. (ref 74) One day, will a certified philosopher, who lightens the century of his thoughts, authorize scientists to put his brain in a jar, which would remove any inopportune inclination of share? There is no doubt that, measured in a calorimeter, the power (in horsepower) of its only thoughts will exceed the power developed by a well prepared champion cyclist, climbing a col of the first category.
The Pope Benoit XVI works up about the ambient relativism. Admittedly, you cannot ask a adherent of a revealed religion to be in agreement with the remark of a precursor of the Age of Enlightenment, M. E. de Montaigne: "Truth on this side of the Pyrenees, error beyond". Let us support that the relativism is not a threat for the religions. It hardly pushes to act whereas the faith yes, when you must raise a mountain. Certainty is good for morale and favorable to the action. The Pentecotist Brazilian footballer, for example, are convinced. Believers know that their conviction is only one among others; they know that this conviction is, for the majority of them, the belief of their local community, which may fill a whole subcontinent but often much less. How do we adhere to such local absolutes? Question that arises for the religions, but also for the morals, the arts and the philosophy; without omitting the long list of the scientific beliefs since Ptolemy. Answer: insensible to those of our paradoxes or contradictions that are parameterized to zero, we act. A threshold effect that reminds sexuality threshold effect when, beyond a certain degree of excitation, Nature prohibits any intervention of the Reason when it became an obstacle with the reproduction of the species. Woody Allen will agree. We would have a kind of peripheral reason which usually incites us to criticism, a probably sometimes cumbersome process of thought, especially in the army. Would the Evolution, which gave us this (too much?) powerful tool, conceal it when it may harm the Entropic Efficiency? In brief, we should not be astonished when Papuas practise a "cargo liner cult" or when an Nepali airline company sacrifices two goats to the Hindu god of the air to avert a series of technical damages on its two Boeing 757. (ref 77) At the end of 19th century, Lord Kelvin believed physics completed; recently physicist S. Hawking was convinced that this completion was for soon, whereas ~ 95% of the Universe is unknown. Will the theologians assimilate the present thesis, which emphasizes the action power of the religious belief? Will they realize that a scientific model is a rare pearl, when taking faith into account, and that the God's death unbearable nietzschean announcement was very exaggerated? The 13/05/2010 to Fatima, Portugal, the Pope said a mass that gathered nearly a half-million of faithful.
Brain specialists think that our free will acts only like the "dead button" of a beginning process of action.
Would the ultimate model be: Fuzzy Entropy pulling technology, technology pulling science, science pulling philosophy, which often brakes ... ? (ref 60) And with what sort of feedback? For example, would there be such an agitation around arithmetic, the hard core of mathematics, if companies were not asking for cryptographic means? And in increasing number, research organizations would be considered like tools, and judged on their capacity of economic valorization. (ref 26 and 36)
Fuzzy Entropy from day to day : In a interview in Afghanistan, a German warrant officer maintained that his most gratifying role was to destroy tons of dangerous abandoned ammunition. A simple delay in a transformation of a noble energy into heat. Beforehand and to cut a long oil story short, two leaders, each one sure that he embodies the Good and that the other is diabolic, launched a worldwide conflict with a strong energy conversion. By means of ordinary marketing, one of them managed to sell a war to an opinion, until then opposed to an intervention. These mutual accusations recall the Cold War, and the unexpected joke of the soviet leader Nikita Krouchtchev before he meets the American President: "he should have a long spoon that sups with the devil". Whatever destinies of the two instigators, the conflict may last without them. On the side "Jihad", the war effort is supported by "gifts", often placed in inaccessible tax havens; a leader who would put pressure on these havens, quickly realizes that their networks of fund transferts are opaque (interbank compensations, hawala) and he may deprive his national companies of appreciable cash flow facilities. (ref 46) On the side "war against terrorism" the effort is, above all, supported by the guaranteed income of a world currency reserve. To date, a credible currency authorizes to take out indefinitely renewable loans, direct public loans by Treasury bills, indirect by foreign investment. The face-to-face forces seem disproportionate. The world indignation caused at the time by the bombardment of Guernica fell down and in Canton, London, Dresden, Tokyo, Hiroshima, Sakiet, Halabja, the best armed nations showed that bombs could be transported by airway more effectively than by any other way. Additional advantage, the detachment given by distance and altitude avoids that, from crews to the political authorities, somebody wonders for a long time about the proportion of civil people that will disappear: ~ 98% in case of use of submunitions bombs. Yet, Occident has few means of defence, if the opposite camp decides to use commercial container ships as vectors of mass destruction weapons (MDW), as the French General Alain Baer and UN pointed it out. A boat can transport to 5000 containers. Thirteen millions containers, for example, are transiting annually (in 2003) through Singapore. The feasability of more effective inspections than the few and late current checks remains to be shown. In the state of the technique, you must practically empty all containers to inspect correctly a necessarily berthed ship. Sample is prohibited. How to avoid the bottlenecks that would paralyse 80% of the world trade, often at tight flow, and plunge the planetary economy in stagnation? Such inspections suppose that the attacker is at the artisan stage, or that he defined a target inside the country. Bad luck, some emblematic Western cities are ports too. A more technical adversary will activate the weapon before unloading, or by a detector during the x-rays inspection. And to set up an effective checking of the shippers … The only attempt, which would fell through, to introduce a mass destruction weapon into a port will panic any Defence. If you think about the present hypersensitivity of the Stock Exchange, even a semblance of attack would be probably enough. Mind the run to wicket!
Few indices will make possible to go back the network, especially in case of a nuclear explosion. So and more terrifying, any state that would think it's in a life-threatening situation, may find the justification of a preventive attack in recent precedents, and anonymously strike. Let us hope that such a disaster will remain a hypothesis forever, but what do the Iranian Minister for Defence mean, when he praised "our skill to implement new strategies"? Today, Iran does not have nuclear weapons or intercontinental vectors; did the Minister speak especially to reassure an anxious population, recently in war? However, he intrigues by quoting "equipment which give us the greatest power of dissuasion". (ref 34) Does the Minister evoke only missiles or fast torpedoes able to threaten the oil traffic in Persian Gulf, capital for the world economy? Effectively, as at the time of the Cold War and after probable adventures still to come, possibly NRBC, a sort of dissuasion should be established between the known current belligerents. A shallow analysis would qualify it from the Very Weak to the Very Strong, with the Occident in the role of the Very Strong. Taking into account the preceding remarks, are these qualifiers really appropriate? The Very Strong is weakened by the obvious vulnerability of its transport networks; he can strike heavily but has difficulties to hold one's ground in a hostile country. Otherwise, how to interpret the silence of the American think tanks, which, like the other side, certainly did not fail to note the chinks? Perhaps this dissuasion is functioning since the warning of Al-Quaida to prevent Western use of MDW. If not, how to explain the mixed results of the anti-terrorist fight in the Middle East? Another assumption, Al-Quaida would have realized that a stock exchange crash would have uncontrollable and surely negative consequences on its own assets. May it avoid a world economic collapse by singling out a target State and by reassuring the others? Il will be however difficult to avoid a general return to the isolationism, unfavorable to its capital turnover.
Present prospects : The only clear sign is the current decreasing decennial slopes (data stopped at year 2000) of worldwide energy consumption, whicht preceded the US slow period. Is the curve of consumption taking the shape of a S kind curve (Arctg(x), Th(x), Erf(x)), with an asymptote or not? Would this decreasing slope be due to the savings in heating, since it appears that the planet is warming? Not yet clear. Would it be due to the profits of productivity achieved by data processing? The experts are divided. The consequence of the ecological thrust? Probably not, apparently supporters of “business as usual” stay in the lead. But is the hand of Fuzzy Entropy invisible? As the hand of the market? Or is it the same? War efforts, an economist said (ref 15), ended the Great Depression of 1929. During the World War Two, it seems that the death of a man will cost his weight in explosives. Our capacities of destruction are today without possible comparison, and to actualize this assumption (ref 114) opens dark prospects Mafias, splinter groups, ethnic groups, religions, ideologies and States have always found good reasons to begin a war and to drag it out. After Urbain II in 1095 and between two surrealist televised exhortations to a universal peace, the Pope Jean Paul II himself was constrained to choose his side, when Italian soldiers died in Iraq. At the same time, philosopher Emmanuel Levinas preached an ethereal peace, now trendy. (ref 64) A profane version remains, less ethical but more Fuzzy Entropy productive, the pax judaica in Palestine. After the fleeting dream of a Shah of Iran, guardian of the Gulf, the American dream of Large Israel results in a everlasting support political and military at the Hebrew State, and until bank guarantees of loans for the colonies development in the occupied territories. When one speaks about a suspension of the financial support, the White House denies immediately. (ref 124) The opposing party, with more limited means, easily gets armaments and explosives on the world market.
Currently, the diplomacy of the Vatican is working on a rapprochement with the Judaism, strongly involved in the worldwide conflict, according to the proverb: the enemy of our enemy is our friend. Mgr Lustiger: "the dividing line between Judaism and Christianity is now thinner than the dividing lines that separate them from Islam". (ref 57) Finely written. Randomly reading, I am waiting to note the gap between dream and reality at the high-minded people of the other religions, sects or more or less secret societies such freemasonry. Yet, in the development field, the worldwide needs in drainage work, drinking water, food, health and education are considerable. In the ecological field, any regulation is asking for more free energy: in the countryside Grandma did not need a car to bring bottles and ads to the waste containers. Of course she owned a wheelbarrow, but containers did not exist. If we must admit unlikely a reduction in our free energy conversion, will we be able to use part of this energy to counter the harmful effects of this conversion? One day, will we control the environmental consequences of any product, from its design to its disappearance? Already, treatments of waste exist here and there. Let us hope that the civil uses of free energy will become competitive vis-à-vis military uses, Fuzzy Entropy speaking, and will allow a sustainable development (ref 19), in accordance with the forecasts of the International Energy Agency (IEA). Manifestly not in a near future. The tensions are exacerbated in the exploitation and use of fossil energies:
Between 2001 and 2005, the whole of the nations raised $70 billion for the development aid. In the only fight against terrorism, United States raised $212 billion to finance the war in Iraq (ref 38); and how much to prepare the yesterday war, by reinforcing their aerial and terrestrial frontiers checks? "The accumulation of failures would encourage to an agonizing reappraisal of the strategy carried out especially since 2003”. Ph. Droz-Vincent notes that no. “The transforming outburst remains intact, he writes, whereas it created terrorism rather than leading to its elimination. Much more, the future president of the United States could be compelled to proceed to the same regional shake for escape from sinking in Iraq”. “Today, ideology would not guide the American policy, but the constraints bequeathed by construction of the threat by Bush administration. By construction of the threat don’t hear a threat of artificial nature, but the way in which the United States organized objective elements, terrorism, rogue States, proliferation of massive destruction weapons, in a global theory”. (ref 89) In short, America will continue to spread its six-shooter Hollywood civilization; rate of homicide for 100 000 inhabitants in France: 0,7, in th United States: 6,2. "Madness that this situation where it is the war which creates enemies, and not the reverse". (ref 111) To evoke a very literary madness of the men doesn't advance us much.
From where the difficulty: if the Life is effective in the production of Fuzzy Entropy, and particularly our species, we will have to clarify the deficit of Entropy production due to the human losses in the transport accidents, the sports, the “news in brief”, and especially the wars.
The two candidates to American presidential election of 2008 did not clearly announce their position on the Fuzzy Entropy. However, the Entropy conviction of the republican candidate was manifest: America must show its muscles, send reinforcements to Baghdad and strike a decisive blow in the war on terrorism. The conviction of the democrat candidate remained doubtful a long time. Initially, he announced his intention to quickly bring the boys back to home, until polls seem to have shown that his will to reduce the Fuzzy Entropy production was not a good idea. Besides the American war effort, related to the GDP, would be lower than that of the war of Vietnam. Since, he rectifies by proceeding step by step; initially the withdrawal of Iraq will be spread out; then some combat and instruction units will remain on the spot; finally (ref 92), a fraction of the troops will be redeployed in Afghanist. Let us await the continuation. And we don't not have waited a long time, less than one year. With the new awaited reinforcement, it is a large fraction of these troops that will try to hold one's ground in Afghanistan; for this purpose, the Chamber of the representatives commission envisaged an additional draft budget of $96,7 billion for Iraq and Afghanistan. Let us note that, in spite of the worrying state of American finances, "The plan was approved by acclamations". (ref 105) F. Rich , of the New York Times, makes an interesting parallel between the dilemma posed not long ago to the President J F Kennedy and his refusal to send reinforcements to Vietnam, which did not stop the process that one knows, and the same dilemma posed to President B Obama on the sending of reinforcements to Afghanistan. (ref 113) Will President Obama produce more Fuzzy Entropy than his predecessor? The answer was yes, as I predicted to Mr. P. A. Delhommais, of the newspaper "Le Monde". In this war, a new front would have opened in Yemen. (ref 122) This country, oil producer, has frontiers with Saudi Arabia and with Oman; its coast is bathed by the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean; the Persian Gulf and the turbulent countries of the East Africa are not far; the relief is favourable to guerillas attacks. Its strategic importance is without common measurement with that of Afghanistan. If I must ensure the statute of a science in a constant state of flux by checked forecast, and encouraged by this first experiment, today 01/02/2010 I predict that the West will increase its total strength of more than 10 000 men, soldiers and civilians, in the Arabic peninsula and its environment in this year 2010.
A triumph of the Fuzzy Entropy: the West mobilizes expensively ~ 200 000 men in Afghanistan, "to crush a hundred combatants of Al-Quaida who are in Pakistan". (ref 120)
The American private consultancy Homeland Security Research Corporation (HSRC) anticipates a world expenditure of $517 billion for 2015, on the assumption of a persistent tension without major attack. (ref. 40) At Earth scale, terrorism brews already more than $500 billion.(ref 42)
One-day, historians will confirm some Fuzzy Entropic determinism in action-reaction couples:
This "hegelian" dialectic of destruction-rebuilding is obvious in the American attitude, which refuses to prohibit the antipersonnel mines and is the best giver in the fight for the clearance. (ref 118)
Thus, our blindness referred to above makes us occult the disturbing aspects of the recent past; with for consequence that the Fuzzy Entropy increases the risk of apocalypse. And let us not count on the media to enlighten us, they cannot go to countercurrent. Even the leader-writers of press, who should look at a little behind, must forget the historical depth and confine themselves to the public request : current events Can we feel reassured by saying that a nuclear conflict would plunge planet in a deep and durable economic crisis, which would be Counter-Entropic? Let us keep hope: probably a North-South dissuasion is already engaged and a "soft" transformation of energy will remain. The two camps will prepare a major confrontation, which will never take place if all is well. The situation may become acceptable, and even in the interest of all, with a minimum of deaths and a strong energy transformation. During the Cold War, Strategic Air Command maintained a deterrent of sixty B52 in alarm in flight during years. To fill up a B52 costs $100 000. (ref 76) While passing, let us greet also the technological advance proved by the distant successor of the Jeep®, the Hummer®, 3 tons, a diesel V8 of 6,5l, 195cv, a fuel consumption of 20 to 60l / 100km. The world military expenditure increased of 34% since 1996, at now $1118 billion. (ref 69) "The concept of war against terrorist encouraged many countries to present their problems from that angle, which enabled them to justify military expenditures", says S. Perl-Freeman, expert at the International Stockholm Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). (107) Russians and Chinese have tripled their military expenditures in ten years. The French Minister for Defense said she has "good hope" that France exceeds in 2006 the amount of 4 billion of Euro of armament exports. (ref 68) ) "Pursued by Israel, 5th world exporter of armament”, (ref 87) Ministry and industrialists must get up off their backsides.
Dissuasion or not, a well financed organization or a State can easily have access to certain kinds of MDW. Taking into account the policies at the edge of the abyss of some Western countries, Cassandra would have predicted a lasting strong military production of Fuzzy Entropy.
Future prospects : If Fuzzy Entropy predicts a hypothetical cold end of Universe, we should try to avoid teilharddechardinesque metaphysical conjectures, except to find comfort. Perhaps the last avatars of life, maybe distant children of the Earth, camping on the edge of black holes to use the ultimate joules of free energy, will see the approach of the end in a crowning moment of something as art?
In brief : Many question marks, but in these presuppositions would not be abusive to use the indicative of the scientific assumptions for so subjective ideas? To close definitely this part, the site “Entropy And ... Then?" is open to anybody interested by modelling, strengthened by mathematics, of thermodynamics, thermodynamics of life and cosmology. It's not a place for metaphysic, philosophic or moral considerations. Specialist in general ideas, the creator of this site hopes to learn many things; and that contributors will palliate his lacks. English is not his maternal language, and when he was a student, long years ago, he didn’t care enough about his studies, playing soccer, eating frogs and running after girls, as said approximately his fellow Turina.
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